For a self educated person like myself, who has combed through many of these topics throughout my learning journey; Ash you do an amazing job of threading them together—past to present, and I look forward to this continued journey reading your articles, as always….Great piece!
Thanks for mentioning this Mike, a lot of what I cover here may not be new, in many cases that's not even my intention, but what seek to offer as value is insights from integrating a variety of topics, events and ideas, applying different perspectives while doing so.
Gonna save this one because at some point this might be a useful post to link to in a future decision making piece. That piece would focus on the difference between a priori or prospective decisions we make about how things are going to play out (which bet to make) and how that might look very different than applying a post-hoc or hindsight lens to it. And we see this all the time - whether in technology, business, or any other industry where past success/failure is dissected. They make things sound to "obvious" but the reality is they actually weren't obvious in an a priori sense.
Indeed, as I chronicle the march of human progress in these articles, the myriad decisions taken by individuals at each point add up to define how things have turned out. So it's great to see that you intend to discuss that from your vantage point of deep study of the field.
I think your treatment of the specific epistemic point will be important because studying the past for such things will, I'd hope, help us take better decisions in the future, learning from history.
A closely related area I'll mention is deduction, such as dramatized by Conan Doyle: once Holmes explains his process in any particular case just resolved, the previously-bewildered Watson is like: why, that's simplicity itself!
Thank you very much and I'm delighted at the idea of cross-pollination and suchlike, and please Matt, no limits on length of comments / what you wish to share!
For a self educated person like myself, who has combed through many of these topics throughout my learning journey; Ash you do an amazing job of threading them together—past to present, and I look forward to this continued journey reading your articles, as always….Great piece!
Thanks for mentioning this Mike, a lot of what I cover here may not be new, in many cases that's not even my intention, but what seek to offer as value is insights from integrating a variety of topics, events and ideas, applying different perspectives while doing so.
Gonna save this one because at some point this might be a useful post to link to in a future decision making piece. That piece would focus on the difference between a priori or prospective decisions we make about how things are going to play out (which bet to make) and how that might look very different than applying a post-hoc or hindsight lens to it. And we see this all the time - whether in technology, business, or any other industry where past success/failure is dissected. They make things sound to "obvious" but the reality is they actually weren't obvious in an a priori sense.
Anyway, I'll stop there. Nice post, Ash.
Indeed, as I chronicle the march of human progress in these articles, the myriad decisions taken by individuals at each point add up to define how things have turned out. So it's great to see that you intend to discuss that from your vantage point of deep study of the field.
I think your treatment of the specific epistemic point will be important because studying the past for such things will, I'd hope, help us take better decisions in the future, learning from history.
A closely related area I'll mention is deduction, such as dramatized by Conan Doyle: once Holmes explains his process in any particular case just resolved, the previously-bewildered Watson is like: why, that's simplicity itself!
Thank you very much and I'm delighted at the idea of cross-pollination and suchlike, and please Matt, no limits on length of comments / what you wish to share!